Sunday afternoon will bring sports betting enthusiasts an intriguing matchup as the Miami Dolphins visit the Buffalo Bills for the inside track to an AFC East title. The Bills are known for a smothering defense, but their offense can also be high-octane. The Dolphins are known for a track-meet style offense, but they can also lock opposing offenses down. Dolphins vs Bills played three times last year between the regular season and the playoffs, and the total margin of victory in those games was just eight points.
Week 4 NFL Dolphins vs Bills Betting Odds. Can the Bills pull off an emphatic home win against the upstart Dolphins, or has Miami passed the Bills? Don’t miss our NFL betting preview | Bet NFL Football Lines by Xbet Sportsbook
When: Saturday, September 30, 2023, 3:30 pm ET
Where: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
Radio: WINZ 940 AM Miami / WGR 550 AM Buffalo
Live Stream: Hulu
NFL Odds: Buffalo -2.5 / O/U 53.5 // Miami +130 / Buffalo -155
Why should you bet on the Miami Dolphins?
Miami put up 70 points in Denver on Sunday and knelt on fourth down when they had the chance to make it 73, winning by 50 points. The last time an NFL team posted 70 points in a game, the U.S. President was Lyndon Johnson, and the year was 1966. Tailback Raheem Mostert accounted for four touchdowns, and Tua Tagovailoa and wide receiver Tyreek Hill made the game look like it was taking place on Nintendo rather than real life.
The Dolphins were 8-8-1 against the spread, but they covered in five out of the eight games in which they were underdogs of at least 2 ½ points. When the moneyline was +124 or higher, though, they went just 2-6 straight up. Obviously, having to finish the season without Tua Tagovailoa had a significant impact on the Dolphins’ fortunes, and he has shown that he has recovered from the concussions that kept him out for weeks to close out the season.
Bet on the Dolphins to Win Today
Why should you put your money on the Buffalo Bills?
The Buffalo Bills did some routing of their own last week, smothering the Washington commanders’ offense in a 37-3 win. The D snagged four interceptions and sacked Sam Howell nine times, turning his day into a house of horrors. The defensive hero was Terrell Bernard, a linebacker who had a pair of sacks, a recovered fumble, and a pick, making himself the AFC Defensive Player of the Week.
Quarterback Josh Allen struggled in Week 1 with ball security, but in the last two weeks, he has led his team to 75 points. In Week 3, Stefon Diggs had 111 receiving yards on eight catches all by himself. The Bills are 10-1 at home in their last 11 regular season contests. The Bills went 8-8-0 against the spread in the regular season (with their game against Cincinnati having been stopped and canceled during the middle of the game). They won straight up in 13 of 16 games when they were the moneyline favorite.
Bet on the Bills to Win Today
Dolphins vs Bills Final Score and Prediction
It will be interesting to see if the ferocious Buffalo pass rush can get to Tagovailoa before he releases the ball. Bills fans are ready to see their team win a significant game against an elite opponent; in the past two seasons, the Bills have lost these games more often than they have won them. Both teams are clicking on offense right now, which is why the point total is more than 50 – something quite rare in NFL betting. I think the Bills will make defensive adjustments after watching film of the Dolphins shredding the Broncos last week, while we don’t know if the Dolphins are ready to stop a team that has beaten them in four of their last five meetings. I predict a final score of Buffalo 34, Miami 30.
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