NFL SU Picks: If you’re a New York Giants fan, the 5-1 start that the team posted a year ago must seem like ancient memory. The G-men started the 2023 season with a promising drive in their home opener against Dallas, only to see their field goal try blocked and returned for a touchdown, and things got worse in a hurry in a 40-0 loss. A comeback win in Arizona made things seem better, but since then they have taken emphatic losses against San Francisco and Seattle, including a 24-3 thumping last night that put quarterback Daniel Jones an interception ahead (6) of his entire total from 2022 (5). A 97-yard pick-six in the third quarter was the nail in the coffin.
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Week 5 NFL OddsChicago Bears +200 vs Washington Commanders -250Houston Texans +115 vs Atlanta Falcons -140Dallas Cowboys +145 vs San Francisco 49ers -175Baltimore Ravens -180 vs Pittsburgh Steelers +150
Chicago Bears at Washington Commanders TNF
When: Thursday, October 5, 2023, 8:15 pm ET
Where: FedExField, Landover, MD
TV/Live Stream: Prime Video
With Amazon’s second Prime Day less than a week away, does anyone really think that a chance to watch the Bears play live is worth that annual membership fee? It’s really more about the free shipping, at least at this point. Washington has a solid run defense and shouldn’t have to worry much about the Chicago passing game. We saw the Bears’ defense give up 31 points to a Denver offense that hasn’t scored on anyone else. Sam Howell should have plenty of time in the pocket, and he should have world of confidence after taking the Philadelphia Eagles to overtime last week. Commanders to win.
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Houston Texans at Atlanta Falcons
When: Sunday, October 8, 2023, 1:00 pm ET
Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
TV/Live Stream: FOX
Houston just embarrassed Pittsburgh last week, but Mike Tomlin apparently didn’t remember that the Texans can’t stop the run. Najee Harris could have had a huge day, but now the Falcons will be able to run Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier all day long, making life much easier for Desmond Ridder. The Texans are getting elite play out of C.J. Stroud and his young receiving group, but they will be playing catch-up as they watch the Falcons grind the ball up and down the field. Falcons to win.
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Dallas Cowboys at San Francisco 49ers SNF
When: Sunday, October 8, 2023, 8:20 pm ET
Where: Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, CA
TV/Live Stream: NBC
Dallas has a hard time stopping the running game. We saw this in Week 1, before the Giants got away from the running game. We saw this in Week 3, when Joshua Dobbs and James Conner looked All-Pro. We even saw this a little bit in Week 4, when Ezekiel Elliott was able to gash his old team a few times. Why don’t opposing coaches notice this a little more often? Kyle Shanahan noticed it, you can be sure, and the duo of Christian McCaffrey and Deebo Samuel pounding the ball for the 49ers’ offense will remind everyone else on Sunday night. Also, the 49ers’ defense will get after Dak Prescott all night, especially given the injuries plaguing the Cowboys’ O-line. 49ers to win.
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Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers
When: Sunday, October 8, 2023, 1:00 pm ET
Where: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
TV/Live Stream: CBS
The Ravens got to play a Cleveland team missing Deshaun Watson. The Steelers list Kenny Pickett as questionable (knee), but Mitch Trubisky is a serviceable backup. The problems for the Steelers’ offense also include that injury to Diontae Johnson (hamstring) and now Pat Freiermuth. I expect the Pittsburgh defense to stand tall after getting humiliated by Houston last week, but the Steelers just don’t have enough weapons to outscore the Ravens here. Ravens to win.
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